25 Comments

  1. Bayesian probability is something I've done for years without knowing what it was. It's one if the reasons I'm nit into many conspiracies, as when you look at the probability for something like I seen a UFO, it's far more likely you saw a balloon or something else from Earth than an Alien craft that travelled light years to visit.

  2. This was 4 years ago and it was relatively probable that Donald Trump would win the election, because it has a greater than 80% confidence? Did I miss something? Again, This was 4 years ago. 🧐 🤔 🤨

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